Found 24 article(s) for author 'Recession'

The Economic Context for Reforming the Safety Net

The Economic Context for Reforming the Safety Net. Karen Dynan, November 6, 2019, Paper, “As we wrestle with the future of our safety net and social insurance programs, it is important to understand not only the features and outcomes associated with individual programs but also the broader economic context. This reflection piece discusses several relevant aspects of the macroeconomy and of economic and financial conditions facing households: rising government debt, slower macroeconomic growth, limited tools to fight future recessions, greater income inequality, and the financial struggles of households. It goes on to draw lessons for how we should reform our system of entitlement programs.Link

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U.S. economy is just one bad recession away from zero rates or worse

U.S. economy is just one bad recession away from zero rates or worse. Lawrence Summers, October 14, 2019, Video, “The United States is just one bad recession away from being right back at zero interest rates or even lower, Larry Summers warned on CNBC on Monday. “It’s a very different world when everyone’s stuck at zero interest rates,” said Summers, a critic of President Donald Trump who served as former President Bill Clinton’s Treasury secretary and as an economic advisor for former President Barack Obama.Link

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Launch a Pre-Emptive Strike Against Recession

Launch a Pre-Emptive Strike Against Recession. Jason Furman, September 5, 2019, Opinion, “President Trump was right to set aside premature plans for fiscal stimulus last month. Based on the current economic situation, stimulus isn’t yet warranted—but it may be soon. Given the uncertainty, Congress should pass a law immediately that would automatically trigger stimulus if the labor market deteriorates, with unemployment rising rapidly. The package should include not only tax cuts but also relief for states, as well as extra…Link

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The US Recovery Turns Ten

The US Recovery Turns Ten. Jeffrey Frankel, June 14, 2019, Opinion, “The best explanation for the current ten-year US economic expansion – tied for the longest since 1854 – is disappointingly simple: the Great Recession was the worst downturn since the 1930s. And if the dates of American business cycles were determined by the rule that most other countries apply, the current expansion would be far from beating the record.Link

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There Is “Significant Risk” Of Recession

There Is “Significant Risk” Of Recession. Lawrence Summers, January 10, 2019, Video, “There is “significant risk” of a recession in the next two years, former U.S. Treasury Secretary Larry Summers repeated yesterday on Bloomberg TV. Summers, now an economist at Harvard University, focused his comments on China’s economy, which he warned was “seeing as difficult a moment… as any they’ve had in the last 10 or 20 years.” Link

 

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We must prepare now for the likelihood of a recession

We must prepare now for the likelihood of a recession. Lawrence Summers, January 7, 2019, Opinion, “When people are fundamentally healthy, they do not yet know what will cause their death. An economic recovery is healthy if it is not clear what will cause the next recession. By this standard, the recovery from the 2008 financial crisis, although disappointingly slow, has been healthy for most of the last decade.Link

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Europe in ‘more trouble’ than the U.S. 10 years after great recession

Europe in ‘more trouble’ than the U.S. 10 years after great recession. Andrei Shleifer, December 4, 2018, Video, “There are signs of fragility in the economy, but Harvard Professor Andrei Shleifer the U.S. is better off today than it was in 2008. He spoke with Yahoo Finance’s Alexis Christoforous about his new book, ‘A Crisis of Beliefs: Investor Psychology and Financial Fragility’Link

 

 

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Raise Rates Today to Fight a Recession Tomorrow

Raise Rates Today to Fight a Recession Tomorrow. Martin Feldstein, November 26, 2018, Opinion, “Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell will lay out a vision Wednesday for the course the Fed will steer through coming economic turbulence. So far, the Fed’s governors have appeared committed to their plan to continue raising interest rates, which they began in late 2015 after nearly a decade of holding them near zero. The federal-funds rate has jumped from 0.3% in January 2016 to 2.2% today, and the median forecast of the Federal Open Market Committee is that it will reach 3.4% by the end of 2021.Link

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50 percent chance of a US recession by 2020

50 percent chance of a US recession by 2020. Lawrence Summers, November 15, 2018, Video, “Former Treasury Secretary Larry Summers has put the chances of a U.S. recession at 50 percent within the next two years. The economist told CNBC’s Joumanna Bercetche on Thursday that a slowdown in growth was a “near certainty” before adding “the recession risk is nearly 50 percent over the next two years, maybe slightly less.Link

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