Found 425 article(s) in category 'Trade Policy'

China’s economy shows signs of slowdown, Harvard economist says

China’s economy shows signs of slowdown, Harvard economist says. Kenneth Rogoff, February 25, 2019, Video, “The U.S. economy is doing “pretty well” right now, but Harvard University Economics Professor Kenneth Rogoff says the rest of the world, especially China, has problems. “There’s a slow patch in the global economy — I think China’s more than a slow patch,” he said during an interview on FOX Business’ “Mornings with Maria” on Monday. “It may have a soft landing, but it will be onto a downward slope. Centralizing power doesn’t work in trying to have a productive economy.”Link

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Dollar Dominance in Trade: Facts and Implications

Dollar Dominance in Trade: Facts and Implications. Gita Gopinath, 2019, Opinion, “It is an honor to give the EXIM Bank of India’s 33rd Commencement Day Lecture. I would like to especially thank the Managing Director, Mr. David Rasquinha, for inviting me to speak at this special event.  Given that this is the EXIM Bank lecture it feels appropriate to talk about international trade. The remarkable growth in international trade and finance over the last four decades has changed economics and politics. The global financial crisis over the last decade has challenged several of the existing paradigms in economics. In my lecture today I will speak about one such long-standing paradigm in international economics, the so-called “Mundell-Fleming paradigm,”and the recent evidence that questions the general validity of this framework. This new evidence arises from work I have done over the last decade with co-authors that has led us to push for a new paradigm that we call the “Dominant Currency Paradigm.”Link

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No trade deal can dictate our relationship with China

No trade deal can dictate our relationship with China. Lawrence Summers, February 4, 2019, Opinion, “Lawrence Summers is a professor at and past president of Harvard University. He was treasury secretary from 1999 to 2001 and an economic adviser to President Barack Obama from 2009 through 2010. As the United States and China continue to joust over trade and technology, the U.S. policy debate contrasts two views of the primary problem.Link

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Harvard’s Rogoff explains why China has become a ‘problem place’

Harvard’s Rogoff explains why China has become a ‘problem place’. Kenneth Rogoff, January 22, 2019, Video, “Kenneth Rogoff, public policy and economics professor at Harvard, thinks China is becoming a real problem. “If we want to talk about a problem place, it’s China. It’s clearly China,” Rogoff told Yahoo Finance at the World Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland. “There’s a slowdown going on in China that’s not demand driven. It’s a slowdown coming from the fact that they’re having a productivity slowdown.” Link

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Trump’s Trade Game

Trump’s Trade Game. Dani Rodrik, January 16, 2019, Opinion, “In 2018, US President Donald Trump finally followed through on his “America first” trade strategy. Yet it is already clear that his policies will have little impact on trade growth, and even less effect on China’s behavior.Link

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Labor Market Shocks and the Demand for Trade Protection: Evidence from Online Surveys

Labor Market Shocks and the Demand for Trade Protection: Evidence from Online Surveys. Rafael Di Tella, Dani Rodrik, January 16, 2019, Paper, “We study preferences for government action in response to layoffs resulting from different types of labor-market shocks. We consider the following shocks: technological change, a demand shift, bad management, and three kinds of international outsourcing. Respondents are given a choice among no government action, compensatory transfers, and trade protection. In response to these shocks, support for government intervention generally rises sharply and is heavily biased towards trade protection. Demand for import protection increases significantly in all cases, except for the “bad management” shock. Trade shocks generate more demand for protectionism, and among trade shocks, outsourcing to a developing country elicits greater demand for protectionism than outsourcing to a developed country. The “bad management” shock is the only scenario that induces a desired increase in compensatory transfers; it is also the only case without a significant increase in desired trade protection. Effects appear to be heterogeneous across subgroups with different political preferences and education. In particular, Trump supporters are more protectionist than Clinton supporters. But preferences seem malleable and easy to manipulate: Clinton supporters primed with trade shocks are as protectionist as baseline Trump voters.Link

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There Is “Significant Risk” Of Recession

There Is “Significant Risk” Of Recession. Lawrence Summers, January 10, 2019, Video, “There is “significant risk” of a recession in the next two years, former U.S. Treasury Secretary Larry Summers repeated yesterday on Bloomberg TV. Summers, now an economist at Harvard University, focused his comments on China’s economy, which he warned was “seeing as difficult a moment… as any they’ve had in the last 10 or 20 years.” Link

 

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The Shutdown Could Disrupt The U.S. Economy In A Big Way

The Shutdown Could Disrupt The U.S. Economy In A Big Way. Nancy Koehn, January 8, 2019, Audio, “Will the government shutdown have a long-term impact on the U.S. economy? Nancy Koehn, professor at the Harvard Business School, said that the shutdown could disrupt the economy on both a micro and macro level. “What’s interesting to me as someone who has done a lot of economic work is how we’re beginning to see the cascading consequences,” she said on Boston Public Radio Tuesday. There are individual pains — like farmers not being able to get loans or aid to help cope with the U.S.-China trade war.Link

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