Found 74 article(s) for author 'Jeffrey Frankel'

Congress Should Vote Thumbs Up to Trade Deal

Congress Should Vote Thumbs Up to Trade Deal. Jeffrey Frankel, November 12, 2015, Opinion. “Now that the long-awaited text of the Trans-Pacific Partnership agreement has been released, Congress will have to decide whether to ratify it. It should vote thumbs up. Many who are concerned about labor and environmental issues are fervently opposed to TPP, but they should read the text with an open mind. It seems unlikely that they did so, judging by the speed with which some nongovernmental organizations and others reacted negatively to the document within a few hours of its release last week…” Link

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Why Support the TPP?

Why Support the TPP? Jeffrey Frankel, October 8, 2015, Opinion. “Agreement among negotiators from 12 Pacific Rim countries on the Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) represents a triumph over long odds. Tremendous political obstacles, both domestic and international, had to be overcome to conclude the deal. And now critics of the TPP’s ratification, particularly in the United States, should read the agreement with an open mind. Many of the issues surrounding the TPP have been framed, at least in US political terms, as left versus right. The left’s unremitting hostility to the deal – often on the grounds that the US Congress was kept in the dark about its content…Link

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China Confronts the Market

China Confronts the Market. Jeffrey Frankel, September 4, 2015, Opinion, “China’s current economic woes have largely been viewed through a single lens: the government’s failure to let the market operate. But that perspective has led foreign observers to misinterpret some of this year’s most important developments in the foreign-exchange and stock markets. To be sure, Chinese authorities do intervene strongly in various ways. From 2004 to 2013, the People’s Bank of China (PBOC) bought trillions of dollars in foreign-exchange reserves, thereby preventing the renminbi from appreciating as much as it would have had it floated freely…Link

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Is Tsipras the New Lula?

Is Tsipras the New Lula? Jeffrey Frankel, July 17, 2015, Opinion.Greek Prime Minister Alexis Tsipras has the chance to become to his country what South Korean President Kim Dae-jung and Brazilian President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva were to theirs: a man of the left who moves toward fiscal responsibility and freer markets. Like Tsipras, both were elected in the midst of an economic crisis. Both immediately confronted the international financial constraints that opposition politicians can afford to ignore…Link

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The Euro Crisis: Where to From Here?

The Euro Crisis: Where to From Here? Jeffrey Frankel, May/June 2015, Opinion. “Germans cannot agree to unlimited bailouts of euro members.  On the other hand, if they had rigidly insisted on the founding principles (fiscal constraints, “no bailout clause,” and low inflation as the sole goal of the ECB), the euro would not have survived the post-2009 crisis.  The impact of fiscal austerity has been to raise debt/GDP ratios among periphery countries, not lower them.  The eurozone will endure, but through a lost decade of growth.   It would help if the ECB further eased monetary policy, which it could do by buying US treasury bonds…Link

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Harvard Professor Jeffrey Frankel: New And Improved Trade Agreements?

Harvard Professor Jeffrey Frankel: New And Improved Trade Agreements? Jeffrey Frankel, May 6, 2015, Opinion. “Trade is high on the agenda in the United States, Europe, and much of Asia this year. In the US, where concern has been heightened byweak recent trade numbers, President Barack Obama is pushing for Congress to give him Trade Promotion Authority (TPA), previously known as fast-track authority, to conclude the mega-regional Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) with 11 Asian and Latin American countries. Without TPA, trading partners refrain from offering their best concessions, correctly fearing that Congress would seek to take “another bite of...” Link

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A Strong Dollar Is a Sign of a Strong Economy

A Strong Dollar Is a Sign of a Strong Economy. Jeffrey Frankel, March 23, 2015, Opinion. “Any movement in the exchange rate has pros and cons. When the dollar appreciates as much as it has over the last year, the obvious disadvantage is that the loss in competitiveness by U.S. producers hits exports and the trade balance. But if the dollar had fallen by a similar amount, there would be lamentations over the debasing of the currency. Overall, the strong dollar is good news. This is because of the macroeconomic fundamentals behind it. Indeed textbook theories explain this episode unusually well…” Link

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Nominal GDP Targeting for Developing Countries

Nominal GDP Targeting for Developing Countries. Jeffrey Frankel, January 27, 2015. “Interest in nominal GDP (NGDP) targeting has come in the context of large advanced economies. Developing countries are better suited for it, however, in light of big supply shocks and terms of trade shocks, such as monsoon rains and oil import price shocks in the case of India. Under annual inflation targeting (IT), the full impact of adverse supply shocks is felt as lost real GDP. NGDP targeting automatically accommodates such shocks, while retaining the advantage of anchoring expectations. We derive the condition under which NGDP targeting…” Link

 

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Why commodity prices are down in US but up in Europe

Why commodity prices are down in US but up in Europe. Jeffrey Frankel, December 31, 2014, Opinion. OIL prices plummeted 43 per cent during the course of 2014 – good news for oil-importing countries, but bad news for Russia, Nigeria, Venezuela and other oil exporters. Some attribute the price drop to the US shale-energy boom. Others cite Opec’s (Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries) failure to agree on supply restrictions. But that is not the whole story…” May require purchase or user account. Link

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