Is it the “How” or the “When” that Matters in Fiscal Adjustments?¬†Alberto Alesina, October 2016, Paper, “Using data from 16 OECD countries from 1981 to 2014, we find that the composition of fiscal adjustments is much more important than the state of the cycle in determining their effects on output. Fiscal adjustments based upon spending cuts are much less costly than those based upon tax increases, regardless of whether the adjustment starts in a recession or not.Link