Found 278 article(s) in category 'Trade Policy'

Why Trump Can’t Bully China

Why Trump Can’t Bully China. Kenneth Rogoff, February 9, 2017, Opinion, “As US President Donald Trump proceeds to destabilize the post-war global economic order, much of the world is collectively holding its breath. Commentators search for words to describe his assault on conventional norms of leadership and tolerance in a modern liberal democracy. The mainstream media, faced with a president who might sometimes be badly uninformed and yet really believes what he is saying, hesitate to label conspicuously false statements as lies.Link

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Lawrence Summers on the Risks of President-Elect Trump

Lawrence Summers on the Risks of President-Elect Trump. Lawrence Summers, January 20, 2017, Video, “Harvard University President Emeritus and Former U.S. Treasury Secretary Lawrence Summers explains the risks he sees related to the policies of President-elect Donald Trump and warns that business may regret “enabling” Trump. He speaks from the World Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland on “Bloomberg Surveillance.”Link

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Trump’s Defective Industrial Policy

Trump’s Defective Industrial Policy. Dani Rodrik, January 10, 2017, Opinion, “US President-elect Donald Trump has yet to take office, but his brand of flawed industrial policy has been on full display since his surprise win in November. Within weeks of the election, Trump had already claimed a victory. Through a mix of inducements and intimidation, he prevailed on the heating and cooling firm Carrier to keep some of its operations in Indiana, “saving” around 1,000 American jobs. Touring the Carrier plant subsequently, he warned other US firms that he would impose stiff tariffs on them if they moved plants overseas and shipped products back home.Link

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Summers Says Markets Underestimating Risks of Trump Presidency

Summers Says Markets Underestimating Risks of Trump Presidency. Lawrence Summers, January 3, 2017, Video, “Former U.S. Treasury Secretary Lawrence Summers said investors are being far too sanguine about the risks associated with Donald Trump’s incoming administration. The Harvard professor, a Democrat who was Treasury chief under Bill Clinton, cited the possibility of protectionist measures by the U.S. as well as changes to foreign policy and domestic social policy as issues that are creating “extraordinary uncertainty.”” Link

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Trump’s Tax Plan and the Dollar

Trump’s Tax Plan and the Dollar. Emmanuel Farhi, Gita Gopinath, January 3, 2017, Opinion, “Now that Donald Trump has been elected President of the United States and Republicans control both houses of Congress, corporate tax reform is coming to America. The package currently being discussed includes two important features: a cut in the tax rate, from 35% currently to 20% or even 15%; and a “border-adjustment” tax, which is typical of a value-added-tax (VAT) regime, but unusual for corporate taxes.Link

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The Charmed Life of Superstar Exporters: Survey Evidence on Firms and Trade Policy

The Charmed Life of Superstar Exporters: Survey Evidence on Firms and Trade Policy. Dustin Tingley, January 2017, Paper, “What factors determine firms’ attitudes toward trade policy? This paper considers producers’ policy preferences and political behavior in light of two key patterns in modern international trade: industries that face import competition often have many exporters, and foreign sales are concentrated in the hands of a small number of “superstar” exporters. Using a new survey of Costa Rican firms matched to systematic firm-level data on export behavior, we find that firm features are generally more important predictors of attitudes toward trade liberalization than industry-wide comparative advantage. We also show that export intensity is strongly associated with interest and lobbying activity on trade policy. The largest exporters, who are the strongest supporters of global integration, dominate trade politics.Link

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Trade and Agricultural Disease: Import Restrictions in the Wake of the India – Agricultural Products Dispute

Trade and Agricultural Disease: Import Restrictions in the Wake of the India – Agricultural Products Dispute. Mark Wu, December 14, 2016, Paper, “Trade in agricultural products raises sensitivities, particularly when imports originate from a trading partner experiencing an outbreak of some type of agricultural disease. In this article, we explain why despite the negative externalities associated with diseased imports, an importing country is generally not permitted to ban such imports outright under WTO law. Rather, it is allowed to do so only under fairly specific circumstances. We also highlight how the recent India – Agricultural Products ruling contributes to the jurisprudence of two issues concerning the SPS Agreement: the interpretation of international standards, and the relationship between the risk assessment and scientific evidence requirements.Link

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Don’t Cry Over Dead Trade Agreements

Don’t Cry Over Dead Trade Agreements. Dani Rodrik, December 8, 2016, Opinion, “The seven decades since the end of World War II were an era of trade agreements. The world’s major economies were in a perpetual state of trade negotiations, concluding two major global multilateral deals: the General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade (GATT) and the treaty establishing the World Trade Organization. In addition, more than 500 bilateral and regional trade agreements were signed – the vast majority of them since the WTO replaced the GATT in 1995.Link

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